Delineating the pathways of warm water towards East Antarctica’s Totten Glacier

One of the most feared effects of global warming is the rise in sea level caused by the melting of polar continental ice. In fact, polar researchers have been working towards raising the awareness of this impending threat. The scientific fraternity relies on sampling the remote regions of Arctic and the Antarctic continental shelves to estimate these risks. They can then use these measurements to model and understand the processes that drive the melting of ice at these locations and determine the extent of meltwater that will eventually flow out from the glacier over time.

The East Antarctic Ice Sheet, which includes the Totten Glacier, is also a significant contributor to ice discharge and global sea-level rise, besides the extensively researched West Antarctic region. The Totten Glacier is grounded below the surface of the ocean and is thought to contain enough ice to cause a global sea-level rise of more than 3.5 meters. This makes it particularly vulnerable to the influence of oceanic processes that results in ocean heat transport, also known as ‘ocean forcing.’ Unfortunately, thick sea ice cover on the Totten embayment has made it difficult to sample or observe the continental shelf nearby the Totten Glacier. As a result, little is known about the specifics of how offshore ocean heat reaches the ice shelf cavity beneath the Totten Glacier.

By providing additional insights and defining the pathways of ocean heat transport into the Totten Ice Shelf cavity, a multinational team of researchers have now filled this knowledge gap. The study, led by Assistant Professor Daisuke Hirano from the National Institute of Polar Research (NIPR), Japan, is published in the Nature Communications journal. Assistant Professor Hirano, along with Takeshi Tamura from NIPR, Kazuya Kusahara from Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Stephen R. Rintoul from CSIRO Environment, Australia, Shigeru Aoki from the Institute of Low Temperature Science at Hokkaido University, along with many other colleagues who were a part of this study, provide fundamental and valuable insights about the physical processes controlling the melting of Totten Glacier.

The researchers used a wide variety of techniques to gather data from the Totten embayment over the course of several years. This included helicopter-based measurements, comprehensive scans of the topography of the ocean floor (or “bathymetry”), and sea water sampling. They combined this data with other existing measurements to extend and update a bathymetric dataset, which, in turn, enabled them to develop a model describing the interactions between the ocean and the Totten Ice Shelf. Using observations and numerical simulations, the researchers then estimated the water and heat circulation towards the Totten Ice Shelf cavity, the resulting melting rates, and the effects of bathymetry on the entire process.

The analyses revealed crucial details on how warm offshore-origin Circumpolar Deep Water interacts with the Totten Ice Shelf and brings in heat, accelerating melting processes. The researchers found that a train of cyclonic eddy currents brings offshore warm water towards the continental shelf break, where it enters a broad depression on the inner side. This warm water circulates within the depression and finally accesses the cavity of the Totten Ice Shelf, by the means of two large, deep glacial troughs. Finally, the basal meltwater caused by the inflow and subsequent mixing of the warm water exits the area through the western ice front of the glacier. “The combination of comprehensive observations and model simulations enabled us to delineate the pathways of offshore warm water from the shelf break to the Totten Ice Shelf cavity and provide additional insights,” explains Assistant Professor Hirano, “The results highlight the importance of bathymetry and regional circulation in regulating ocean heat transport towards the ice shelf cavity.”

Overall, the findings of this study can help researchers make more accurate predictions about the future state of the East Antarctic in the face of climate change. “This study provides fundamental and valuable insights into the physical processes that control the melt rate of the Totten Glacier.” remarks Assistant Professor Hirano, “The findings also emphasize that long-term monitoring will be needed to determine the sensitivity of the Totten Glacier owing to its potentially large contribution to sea-level rise, to future changes in natural and human-caused forcing.” Worth noting, the ultimate goal of the project is to strengthen our understanding of how ocean-driven loss/discharge of Antarctic ice would contribute to sea-level rise.  

Here’s hoping that these results contribute to the understanding of the previously unexplored Totten Glacier’s involvement in the global sea-level rise for the present and the future.

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About National Institute of Polar Research, Japan

The National Institute of Polar Research (NIPR) engages in comprehensive research via observation stations in Arctic and Antarctica as a member of the Research Organization of Information and Systems (ROIS). It provides researchers throughout Japan and other countries with infrastructure and support for polar observations and works actively to promote polar science. By working under the same frameworks as various international academic organizations, NIPR is the core Japanese representative institution operating in both poles, conducting innovative research on polar ecosystems, polar climate science, geology, sustainability in polar regions, and more.

Website: https://www.nipr.ac.jp/english/index.html

About Assistant Professor Daisuke Hirano from National Institute of Polar Research , Japan

Dr. Daisuke Hirano is affiliated with NIPR since 2021 and currently serves as an Assistant Professor. Prior to this Dr. Hirano was associated with the Hokkaido University. Dr. Hirano obtained his Master’s and Doctoral degrees from Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology in 2006 and 2010, respectively. He specializes in oceanography, with a focus on ocean and sea ice/ice sheet interactions in both polar oceans.

About the Research Organization of Information and Systems (ROIS)

ROIS is a parent organization of four national institutes (National Institute of Polar Research, National Institute of Informatics, the Institute of Statistical Mathematics and National Institute of Genetics) and the Joint Support-Center for Data Science Research. It is ROIS's mission to promote integrated, cutting-edge research that goes beyond the barriers of these institutions, in addition to facilitating their research activities, as members of inter-university research institutes.

Funding information

MEXT, JARE, NIPR, SOKENDAI, Hokkaido University, SENTAN,  ROIS, Inoue Science Foundation, ASCI, CSHOR, NSF project, NASA's Cryosphere Program, NSF project, the G. Unger Vetlesen Foundation.